Electric vehicle (EV) sales, marketshare, forecast by model, make, country

China's robotics sector continues to play an increasing role in EVs

The Global EV Outlook (2016) report shows countries below covered by the Electric Vehicle Initiative (EVI), a multi-government policy forum dedicated to accelerating electric vehicle (EV) deployment. In September 2017, China announced it is joining France and Britain announcing plans to end sales of gasoline and diesel cars. Find EMS design and manufacturing services for automotive electronics here.

The EVI is a multi-government policy forum established in 2009, dedicated to accelerating the deployment of EVs worldwide with the goal of a global deployment of 20 million electric cars by 2020. The EVI counts 16 member governments (Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Italy, Japan, Korea, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, the United Kingdom and the United States).

Beijing is stepping up pressure on automakers to accelerate development of EVs. France and Britain announced in July 2017 they will stop sales of gasoline and diesel automobiles by 2040 as part of their efforts to reduce pollution and carbon emissions.

Robotics demand in China
China robotics sales
China manufacturing moves up the tech value chain
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EV sales and market share in selected countries in 2015 (‘000 units)

Source: HSBC report, IEA analysis based on EVI country submissions, complemented by EAFO (2016), IHS Polk (2014), MarkLines (2016), ACEA(2016a) and EEA (2015) *Including battery electric car and Plug-in Hybrid electric car.

2015 Global top 20 EV unit sales (includes nine Chinese brands)

Source: 12365

HSBC economist Kelvin Lam noted in his report “China’s Smart Move” (September 2017), China’s EV market is still at an early stage. Lam writes, “of the 28 million cars purchased last year only 507,000 were EVs, according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM).” But it’s the same everywhere – of the 95 million cars sold globally, electric cars made up less than 1%. However, demand is growing rapidly in China and 2016 sales rose 53% year-on-year. Find automotive contract electronics services providers.

China new energy vehicle (NEV) charging stations

Map below is sourced from J.P. Morgan report, ‘China Autos Outlook’ February 2019, by Nick Lai and Rebecca Wen. Bubble size indicates the scale of charging posts / stations per city. Small bubbles equate to less than 3,000 units; medium bubble size equates to 3,000 to 10,000 units; large is for greater than 10,000 units. The target by 2020 is 4.5 million units of charging posts, and 12,000 units of charging stations.

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Price of electric vehicles (EV) vs conventional vehicles – 2018

Additionally, the cost premium associated with owning an EV compared with an ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicle has long been a sticking point for consumers. But prices are becoming more competitive, largely due to improvements in battery technology bringing costs down significantly. The upfront cost is not the only, or even the most useful, metric when evaluating EV affordability, below.

In some other metrics — such as total cost of ownership — EVs are already coming out ahead. But with upfront cost still posing a barrier to wider EV adoption, this concern will be a key priority for manufacturers to address, according to CB Insights. Get the CB Insights report, ‘The Race for the Electric Car’, here.

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